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12/24 - Week 7
12/22 - All Star Game
12/17 - Week 6
12/11 - Week 5
12/03 - Week 4
11/25 - Week 3
11/19 - Week 2
11/12 - Week 1 Complete – New Guy Sets
the Bar
11/09 - Opening
Weekend
10/27 - Battle O' The Divisions
10/21 - Barnstorming Bonanza
10/16 - Mock Draft Results
12/24 - Week 7: One Race
Tightens, While the Rest....

With Babe Ruth back on his
game,
the once tenuous lead for
Lima de Equipo
in the Joe McCarthy division again appears safe. Lima went
9-5 in Sim 7 and opened a 10.5 game lead over
Pangea
Tyrannosaurus Rex. The dinosaurs struggled, going 6-8 as their
staff ace, Greg Maddux, no longer pitched like an immortal
splitting 4
games with a 3.72 ERA. Pangea lost 6 games in a row before
righting their ship against the
Winterfell
Direwolves on the last day of the Sim.
The Direwolves themselves struggled,
playing a game under .500 and splitting a series against their number
one competition, the
Malkier Golden
Cranes, and lost 2 of 3 to the third place
Staten Island
Dumpers. The Cranes enjoyed a
huge week
from Jeff Bagwell (.462 / .525 / .769) and Jeff Zimmerman
continued to
shine as well; he is now considred the best closer on the season to
date. The Dumpers won 8 of 13 and remain on the cusp of
challenging for the Earl Weaver division title. As the
third place team however, the Dumpers need both the Direwolves and
Cranes to struggle in order to catch up, a prospect that doesn't seem
too likely. Both the Direwolves and Cranes on pace for 90+ win
seasons; and it's been a tight race since the beginning of June:

The biggest movement of the week
comes in the Connie Mack Division where the
Charlestown
Chews went 8-4 to take a significant lead over the
Cincinnati
Venus Flytraps. The Flytraps picked a horrible week to lose 7
of 11 and went from a first place tie to a 3.5 game deficit. The
Chews had
good weeks from Mike Piazza (.353 / .436 / .647), Gary Sheffield
(.348 / .455 / .587), Ron Guidry (2-0, 2.81 ERA), and their bullpen.
In relief Brad Ziegler, Rollie Fingers, Frank Williams, and Jonathan
Papelbon
combined for 30 innings of 4-run ball.
Finally, the
juggernaut's
of the Walter Alston Division continue to blitz their opponents,
winning 9 of 12 and extending their lead to an incredible 20 games.
Here are the rest of the divisional
standings since June 1:


RSAA and AOPSAP Team Updates

It's and incredibly busy chart but
telling nonetheless. By now hopefully you are familiar with the
RSAA and
AOPSAP charts
that are updated each week. The chart above is a team summary of
these reports that a) groups players into similar categories, and b)
totals the player point values by team.
For instance, take a gander at the DC
Chips. They have:
-
1 Batter and 1 Pitcher rated Best
or Excellent
-
6 Batters and 7 Pitchers rated
Very Good or Above Average
-
6 Batters and 6 Pitchers rated
Average
-
Just 1 Batter Below Average or
Poor
-
2 Batters Very Poor or Horrid.
-
Additionally, they have
accumulated 475 AOPSAP points and 73 RSAA Points. Ratings are
assigned to each score on a scale of 1 to 20, and summed in the last
column.
Finally, a summary of each player by
team can be found here. This is
pretty neat as you can quickly see how your team compares to the others
and get a sense your entire 30 man lineup in a glance. A quick
look at the race in the Connie Mack Division:

The Best of the Rest
Which of these numbers is different
than the others?
57, 57, 58, 64, 69, 72, 218
These are the seven best run
differentials in the game and there is no longer any doubt that the DC
Chips and their +218 RD are the best team in ATB X, and perhaps in all
of ATB history. Since they are so close to one another, the
remaining RD scores do leave us with an open question of what the second
best team in ATB is. Power Alley predicts between 90 and 95 wins
for the Chews, de Equipo, Direwolves, Dumpers, Golden Cranes, and
John McDonald
Fanclub and with just half the season complete, these six could
finish in any order. Here's a summariez look at each team:
Charleston Chews
RS: 461, 7th
RA: 403, 4th
RD: 58, 5th
The Chews play their home games in
the homer happy Polo Grounds, circa 1931. The park features HR
factors above 250 while severely repressing all other types of hitting.
Predictably, the team is second in the game in HR but is batting just
.241 with a .322 on base percentage. Their most common lineup is a
bit thin up top thanks to third basemen Heinie Zimmerman's .327 OBP, but
Mike Piazza (.360 OBP, .480), Mark McGwire (24 HR), and Joe DiMaggio
(.302 / .342 / .446) have been solid 3-4-5 hitters. The bottom
third of the lineup is weak, like that virtually all teams, but does
averages a .327 on base percentage, far from the worst.
Their starting rotation has been a
pleasant surprise. #2 starter Spud Chandler has a 3.22 ERA and has
won 8 of 11 decisions while Luis Tiant, the pre-season staff ace, has a
solid 3.66 ERA. Rich Harden and Ron Guidry are about average at 3
and 4, and John Tudor and his 4.86 ERA is about an average 5th starter.
The main weak spot of this team is
the bullpen. Once you get past the brilliant closer Jonathan
Papelbon (1.23 ERA) there is no "go to" guy to turn to in the late
innings. Rollie Fingers and Brad Ziegler are solid right handed
setup men, but also have to fill the same role against lefty batters.
Lefties are hitting .299 / .350 / .441 against Fingers.
The Chews should come out of the
Connie Mack as no other team in the division has outsourced their
opponents. Once in the playoffs they can do some damage as their
rotation gets shortened.
Lima de Equipo
RS: 502, 3rd
RA: 445, 13th
RD: 57, 6th
Owner of the 1st round draft pick,
Lima chose Babe Ruth, stuck him in a prolific hitters park, and it's
paid off. Ruth is bating .356 / .478 / .765 with 39 HR and 92 RBI
for a line right out of the real life 1920's. The top of the
lineup is arguably the best in the game with lead off hitter Billy
Hamilton and his .376 OBP and 58 steals, Bill Terry (.312 AVG, .357 OBP)
batting second, followed by Ruth and Al Rosen, the best third basemen in
the game. Things fall apart in the 5th slot though as Dewey Evans
has struggled this season, batting just .235 / .281 / .339 in 92 games.
Hugh Duffy has been a pleasant surprise and should probably move up in
the order, and the bottom 3rd of the lineup is pretty good, even when
considering Chuck Knoblauch and his .579 OPS out of the 9th hole.
As once might imagine from playing in
Sportsman's park the starting rotation is taking beating. Only
Andy Pettitte has an ERA under 4.50 and Mark Prior, Dolf Luque, and Andy
Benes are sporting earned run averages well over 5.00. Dennis
Eckersley is enjoying a very good year as the closer and Rob Murphy has
been great in long relief (2.19 ERA), but the balance of bullpen doesn't
strike fear into many batters.
This is solid team that should win
the Joe McCarthy division, but the lack of pitching depth may constrain
them from advance far in the playoffs.
Winterfell Direwolves
RS: 468, 6th
RA: 411, 6th
RD: 57, 6th
The Direwolves continue to play a bit
over their heads as they own the 3rd best record in the league, but only
the 6th best Run Differential. On the other hand, they
also started very slowly which has held down their overall statistics
which are just now catching up. With very little home run power,
the Direwolves rely on doubles and triples to score runs and pack a
superb one-two combination at the top of their lineup. First
basemen Dan Brouthers leads off with a .391 OBP and 29 SB, while league
batting leader Tip O'Neil (.387 AVG, .438 OBP, 35 2B) hits second.
Stan Musial is a good #3 hitter but the rest of the lineup can be
pitched to. The team has been struggling all year to find decent
bats at the bottom of their lineup and their current starters are
pathetic: .339 OPS for Whitey Kurowski, .620 OPS for Bobby
Wallace, and a .529 OPS for Manny Sanguillen.
The bullpen is a sweet spot for
Winterfell. Dick Hall, Clay Bucholtz, Ellis Kinder, and JJ Putz
all have ERA's under 3.00 while setup man Jeff Gray sports a 1.72 ERA.
The rotation is solid but not spectacular featuring 4 average pitchers
and perhaps the steal of the draft, Bobby Shantz. Shantz is 6-1
with a 2.78 ERA despite being picked in the 22nd round.
Unless the Direwolves solve their
issues at the back end of the lineup, a betting man has them on the
outside looking in come October.
Staten Island Dumpers
RS: 497, 4th
RA: 428, 11th
RD: 69, 3rd
This is a very good all around team
that has underperformed for much of the season. Their lineup is
great:
1) Hughie Jennings: .384 OBP
2) King Kelly:
.416 OBP
3) Ted Williams:
.327 / .433 / .485
4) Willie McCovey: .300 / .384
/ .526
5) Babe Herman:
.298 / .353 / .438
7) Pete Reiser:
.334 / .372 / .469
Their rotation solid, with ERA's of:
4.39, 4.13, 3.34, 3.04, and 3.14 out of Al Orth, Chief Bender, Derek
Lowe, Joel Horlen, and Johnny Podres respectively. And they have a
good bullpen with Garland Braxton (2.28 ERA), BJ Ryan (2.75 ERA), Tom
Gordon (2.55 ERA), and Rafael Soriano (3.48 ERA) performing well in key
roles.
So, why the third place record?
Their team defense is terrible. The Dumpers have the worst
fielding percentage in the game, they allow steals at a success rate of
73%, and have average or worse defenders at Catcher, First Base, Left
Field, and Right Field.
Malkier Golden Cranes
RS: 460, 8th
RA: 388, 3rd
RD: 72, 2nd
The Cranes arguably have the best
starter and closer in the game, both of whom won "the Great" honors at
their respective positions this week. In the rotation only Monty
Stratton has an ERA over 4.00 and Ted Lyons, Bill Bernhard, and Warren
Hacker are very good. It's not just Jeff Zimmerman in the pen
either, Takashi Saito, Bill Henry, and Tom Niedenfuerer are solid in
their setup and long relief roles.
The issue facing the Cranes is a
relatively poor top of the order. Cy Seymor has too low of an an
on base percentage (.341) to be an effective lead off hitter, and Goose
Goslin in the two-hole is even worse (.312 OBP). Player of the
Week Jeff Bagwell has been particularly good this year (.333 / .375 /
.600) and catcher Josh Gibson is on pace to hit close to 40 HR.
The bottom of the order is no better or worse than most of the other
contenders.
Defense is a problem as well, the
team is tied for last place in fielding percentage with Staten Island.
John McDonald Fanclub
RS: 470, 5th
RA: 406, 5th
RD: 64, 4th
It's a shame that one of the best
teams in the league (so far anyway) has absolutely no chance at making
the playoffs. Currently sitting 20 games out of first, the Fanclub
is only playing for pride. Their offense is very good with only
one black hole - catcher Rick Wilkins and his .196 batting average.
The balance of the lineup features good on base average players at the
top of the order (Richie Ashburn, Honus Wagner) and good all around
4-5-6 hitters. An odd quirk is the continued presence of Roberto
Clemente batting 3rd - he's been awful this year, batting just .275 /
.330 / .377.
The rotation is led by early Cy Young
favorite, Blanton (13-1, 2.17 ERA). Roger Clemens is a good
#2 and Ed Siever and Tex Hughson round out a 4-man rotation that is
considered well above average.
The bullpen has three key players
with ERA's under 3.00 - closer Ted Abernathy, and setup men Dennys Reyes
and Grant Balfour. A major issue however, is the fact Calvin
Schiraldi continues to get innings. He has a 6.17 ERA in 58
innings.
As mentioned, this team is playing
for statistics and not the playoffs. If Schiraldi is given the
boot (off the team or into a diminished role) their is no reason they
can't finish with the second best record in the game.
A summary of results each team lineup
and rotation:


12/22 - ATB All Star Series
A single game is no way to decide
which is the better of two teams so ATB has gone to a non-traditional 11
game format for the All Star game. This affords us the ability to
see all 5 starters twice, plus an ultimate 11th game match-up between
the number 1 starters in each league. And don't worry, I import
the raw player data into a new league database so as to not impact any
true ATB X results (games, fatigue, injuries, statistics, etc)
This is the second year in the 11
game format, and wouldn't you know it, improbably if not impossibly, for
the second year in a row the series went to the deciding game. Box
score links and mini-writeups are below
Game 1
Greg Maddux (PTR) out duels Cy
Blanton (JMF) in a hard fought 5-4 victory for the Henry Chadwick
league. Pete Resier (SID) knocks in the go-ahead run in the 6th
and Al Rosen (LdE) had 3 RBI in the victory.
Game 2
Pedro Martinez (MGC) lasts 8 innings
and gives up just 4 hits, but both are solo shots to Barry Bonds (DC)
and Mike Piazza (CC). Two runs were enough for Alexander
Cartwright, who tie the series one apiece behind the arm of Smoky Joe
Wood (DC)
Game 3
The Henry Chadwick league blitzes
Pete Alexander (CVF) in an 8-4 laugher. Rosen hits his second home
run of the series and picks up his 6th RBI, while Hughie Jennings (SID)
goes 2-4 with 3 RBI.
Game 4
We're now knotted at 2-2 thanks to a
bend but don't break performance by Mort Cooper (BC), who gives up 2
runs and 8 hits in 6 innings. It was more than enough for the
Alexander Cartwright team that wins 7-3 behind Bonds and his 2nd home
run of the series. In a losing effort Babe Ruth (LdE) hits two solo
shots out of the park.
Game 5
The two leagues continue to trade
game after game and Henry Chadwick wins easily 9-2. Ted Lyons
(MGC) was masterful (9 IP, 2 R) and Rosen (2 more RBI), Reiser, and Ted
Williams (SID) led the offensive explosion. Roger Clemens (JMF)
takes the loss.
Game
6
After an off day, its the rematch of game one but this time Maddux
is blown out giving up 6 runs in under 2 innings of work.
Cartwright wins 11-5 behind Bonds and Mickey Mantle (CVF), each driving
in 3. Jeff Bagwell homered and drove in 4 in the loss. The
series is tied 3-3.
Game 7
Chadwick takes a series lead once
agai in a hard fought 7-6 victory. Both starters, Wood and
Martinez, get rocked but each pen holds scoring down for the rest of the
game. Bonds and Mantle hit home runs, their 4th and 3rd
respectively.
Game 8
Chadwick leads the series 5 games to
3 with the first back to back victories in the All Star set.
Alexander is ousted in less than an inning, and while Joel Horlen (SID)
didn't fear much better, it was enough. Bagwell hits his second
home run and adds another 6 RBI.
Game 9
Cartwright scores 5 runs after the
eight inning, capped off by a 3-run pinch hit home run by Norm Cash
(JMF). They keep the series alive with a 9-5 victory.
Game 10
Facing elimination for the second
consecutive game, Cartwright wins again behind the powerful right arm of
Clemens who pitches a 3 hit, complete game shutout. Mantle hits
his 4th and Howard Johnson (DC) his 3rd.
Game 11
Attempting to avoid losing three
straight, Chadwick sends league ace Maddux to the mound for the third
time. It doesn't work as the righty gives up 5 runs in 5 innings.
The final score was 9-6 but it wasn't all that close since Chadwick
scored 4 in the ninth. Lou Gehrig (LOL) was the offensive star,
hitting 2 home runs and driving in 7.
Series MVP:
Barry Bonds - .310 / .383 / .619, 4 HR, 10 R, 13 RBI, 9.9 RC/27.
Team Batting
Team Pitching
12/17 - Week 6

As the mid point of the season
approaches one can't help but wonder if this years excitement will be
relegated solely to individual feats of greatness and post season play.
The race in the Walter Alston Division continues to be as one
sided as can be, with the DC Chips destroying all competition and have
maintained staggering pace of 119 wins. In Joe McCarthy,
Lima de Equipo
has been struggling (right along side of their star, Babe Ruth) but own
a large 7.5 game lead. The Earl Weaver Division is by no
means decided, but the
Winterfell
Direwolves have played 7 games better than the
Malkier Golden
Cranes over the month. This leaves us with at least one
potentially great race in Connie Mack, where the
Cincinnati
Venus Flytraps and
Charlestown
Chews have played to a stalemate, both tied atop the division.
The story of the week however, may be the movement of the
Harlem Rangers,
who are now just 4 games back and coming on strong.
Before getting into the exploits of
the Rangers, we need to spend some time on the
exploits
of Barry Bonds. The Chips lead off hitter and left fielder went
off this sim, and was awarded Player of the Week honors after season
best line of .531 / .646 / 1.082, 1.728 OPS, 8 HR, 18 R, 19 RBI, and
35.7 RC. On the season, Bonds has surpassed Ruth as the leagues
best hitter and is the overall ATB leader in batting average, on base
percentage, slugging percentage, Runs, and Home Runs. I have no
doubt had he batted third all year long, he would also be leading the
league in RBI. This feat has never been accomplished in ATB
History. Here's a chart of Bonds' season according to his slash
stats:

As you can see, once the season
struck the third week of April, Bonds cruised in terms of his hit rate
and walk rate, remaining fairly constant until this past sim where he
batted over .500. His power has been great, but less consistent
all season, and most importantly has steadily been on the rise since the
last week in May. He's slugged .918 and hit 18 HR since May 28.
Getting back to the Rangers, what has
changed their fortunes? It has been as much of a mini turn around
for them as it's been a struggle for the division leaders:

Over the last 30 days the Rangers
have played above .500 (despite being outscored) and the Chews and
Flytraps have only won a single game more then they've lost combined.
While credit is due to the Rangers, blame must also be spread to the
teams their chasing. In Sim 5, many lesser thought of batters were
the key to the Rangers success:
.368 / .429 / .500 - Bobby Doerr
.355 / .500 / .742 - Darren Daulton
.348 / .400 / .500 - Eddie Murray
.343 / .395 / .457 - Barry Larkin
.318 / .423 / .432 - Benny Kauff
George Brett was good too, batting
.304 and slugging .500, while tying for the team lead in RBI.
Oh, and try not to glance at Planet
10's record over the last month, and definitely shy away from staring at
their Run Differential for too long, we're talking
1899
Cleveland Spiders bad.
Team Totals Over Past 45 Days
Were three months in, how have teams
fared over the past month and a half:


Around the League
-
Quality Start Leaders are Maddux
at 15, Clemens at 14, and Blanton and PMartinez at 13
-
Two teams have yet to be shutout
- John
McDonald Fanclub and the DC Chips
-
Pud Galvin (DC) is getting 7.2
Runs Per game from his offense, best in the game. This
explains his 8-2 record and 4.62 ERA.
-
Luis Tiant has a 3.15 ERA but is
two games under .500 at 6-8. He's only getting 3.9 Runs Per
game of support.
-
The worst luck pitcher is Curt
Schilling, who's only getting 3.2 runs per game from the bats.
Here's a complete list of starters and
their run support (minimum of 12 games pitched).
-
Head to Head oddity?
Despite being 3 games back of Direwolves, the Golden Cranes have
beat them 6 of 7 times this year.
-
King Kelly (SID) is the leagues
best average hitter in late and close situations (.476). Frank
Thomas (NCP) has the most RBI (15). And Babe Ruth has the
highest Slugging Average (.875).
Here is a complete list of batters, minimum PA of 30 in late and
close situations.
-
The Madness hit a HR in 15
consecutive games from May 20 to June 5
-
Over four consecutive days, the
Golden Cranes tossed two shutouts and two 1-run games (4/19 - 5/24)
-
The Homestead Grays lead the
league in 1st inning runs scored at 65. Lighthouse have just
29.
Finally, some park effect data
Park
AVG HR/G R/G
Sportsman's Park III (A) 0.304
2.1 11.3
Wrigley Field
0.289 1.9 11.1
Busch Stadium
0.296 1.4 10.7
Yankee Stadium
0.278 1.7 10.0
KC Municipal Stadium
0.269 1.7 9.9
Astrodome
0.266 1.9 9.7
Three Rivers Stadium
0.283 1.4 9.6
Fenway Park
0.273 1.9 9.4
Forbes Field
0.285 1.1 9.4
PNC Park
0.277 1.9 9.3
American League Polo Grounds 0.253 2.7
9.2
Briggs Stadium
0.268 2.2 9.0
County Stadium
0.259 1.6 9.0
Crosley Field
0.262 1.7 8.8
Candlestick Park
0.262 1.7 8.6
Griffith Stadium
0.246 1.6 8.6
Citizens Bank Park
0.256 1.8 8.2
Polo Grounds
0.224 2.6 7.9
Cleveland Municipal Stadium 0.230 1.4
7.4
Ebbets Field
0.228 1.7 7.1
12/11 - Week 5

The trend of two great division races
and two lackluster blowouts continues through Week 5.
Pangea
Tyrannosaurus Rex had a great chance to make up serious ground in
the Joe McCarthy Division, as
Lima de Equipo
has dropped 8 of their last 12 games. However, T-Rex struggled
going just 5-8 to make up a measly 1/2 game on the division leaders.
The Homestead
Grays had the best record in the division going 9-4 and pulling to
within a game of second place, but still
9.5 games
off the pace for a playoff spot.
The Grays Javy Lopez was in the
running for Batter of the week, hitting 7 HR and driving in 20 during
Week 5.
Teammate Ricky Henderson was solid as well, batting .375 / .462 / .554
with 10 SB and leading the team with 14 runs scored. The Grays
pitching
staff was anchored by Cy Young (3.42 ERA in 23.2 IP) and a Bruce
Sutter, who had about as good of a week as possible for a closer:
9.1 IP, 0 R, 5 Saves.
Switching our attention to the
Walter Alston Division where the
DC Chips
continue to dominate, increasing their division lead to
13 games.
The Chips have the best record in ATB X and maintain a pace of 117
"Power Alley" wins, almost 20 better than the next best team.
John McDonald
Fanclub and
Lake Superior
Lighthouse both showed
signs
of life
in Week 5, but barring a miracle have virtually no chance for the post
season.
The Chips offer a well balanced
attack. Starters Charley Radbourn, Toad Ramsey, and Joe Wood each
still have ERA's under 3.00 while the pen has been the best in the game:
Closer: 2.64 ERA - Billy
Wagner
R StUp: 2.76 ERA - Keith
Foulke
L StUp: 1.47 ERA - Jesse
Orosco
Lg Rlf: 3.16 ERA - Willie
Hernandez
Lg Rlf: 2.56 ERA - Dan
Quisenberry
Lg Rlf: 1.42 ERA - Lindy
McDaniel
Combined, their pitching staff now
has an ERA of 3.10, easily tops in all ATB. Further, their offense
has scored more runs than any other team as the experiment of Barry
Bonds leading off appears to have paid off. He is currently
batting .347 / .510 / .690 with 24 HR, 71 R, and 52 RBI. He's not
alone though, Larry Walker (.285 / .359 / .515), Jesse Burkett (.396 /
.463 / .495), and Howard Johnson (.294 / .336 / .502) have been among
the best players at their respective positions.
Before getting to the close division
races, here is a chart of each teams Starters and Relievers ERA's:

The closest and most exciting race of
the young season is in the Connie Mack Division where the
Cincinnati
Venus Flytraps and
Charleston
Chews seemingly swap 1st and 2nd place each week. The
standings chart is worth reprinting here:

While the rest of the division
struggles, these two powerhouse are slugging it out. Combining to
win 17 of 27 games during Week 5, the two teams ended the sim by
splitting a close 2-game set in which both games where in doubt heading
into the late innings. Trying to predict the final outcome of the
race is difficult, but the Chews may have an edge. Their pitching
staffs are
fairly
close in quality, yielding 251 and 249 runs, the meaningless edge
going to the Flytraps. However, on offense, thanks to a power
laden lineup the Chews are on pace to outscore their rivals by 37 runs
Finally, back in the Earl Weaver
division the
Malkier Golden Cranes swept the
Winterfell
Direwolves in Sim 5C to take the division lead once again, albeit by
a small 1/2 game margin. Lurking closer and closer each week are
the Staten
Island Dumpers, who, after having the best Week 5 record in the
Henry Chadwick League, are now just 4.5 games out. In fact,
all three teams had very good Sims and over the past month have played
to a virtual standstill, though you can see how the Golden Cranes have
given up some ground thanks to a struggling offense.

Fun With Names
Ever wonder where some of our owners
came up with their team names? My best guesses:
Absurdville Madness
Baltimore Black
Sox
Birmingham
Cloverleafs (or, maybe not)
Charleston
Chews
Cincinnati Venus Flytraps
DC
Chips
Flatbush
Avenues
Harlem
Rangers
Homestead Grays
John
McDonald
Fanclub
Lake Superior
Lighthouse
Lima de Equipo
Lot
O'
Lefties
Malkier Golden Cranes
North
Central
Positronics
Otherton
Fish Biscuits
Pangea
Tyrannosaurus Rex
Planet 10
Staten Island Dumpers
Winterfell
Direwolves
12/3 - Week 4

The race for the Earl Weaver
Division tightened up during week 4, with the leading
Malkier Golden
Cranes dropping a game to the second place
Winterfell
Direwolves and a full 2.5 games to the third place
Staten Island
Dumpers. The Dumpers had the best record in the division
thanks to a
strong showing from their bullpen. Jim Poole, BJ Ryan, Rafael
Soriano, Rheal Cormier, Mark Eichorn, and Tom Gordon combined for a 2.54
ERA over 32 innings of work. On offense, the long anticipated
return to
form of Ted Williams finally occurred as the slugger batted .419 /
.528 / .721 during his 50+ plate appearances. The left fielder
picked up half of his season total in home runs and raised his batting
average 22 points during the Sim.
Incredibly, this strong week from
Williams wasn't enough to steal the Player of The Week award from Babe
Ruth, who has now won for two consecutive weeks and three of the first
four weeks to start the season. Ruth continues his torrid pace and
now has 37% more RBI than second place Willie Stargell, and 50% more
home runs than second place Barry Bonds.
And speaking of Stargell, thanks to
him, the last place
Absurdville
Madness
swept
the
first
place
Golden Cranes. Stargell was a one man wrecking crew, belting 5 HR
and driving in 12 over the course of four game set. On the season
Stargell now has 11 HR and 24 RBI solely against Malkier.
While the
DC Chips
and Lima de
Equipo continue to run away with their divisions, the
Cincinnati
Venus Flytraps and
Charleston
Chews carry on their battle in the Connie Mack Division.
After holding the division lead at the end of each of the last two Sims,
the Chews struggled to stay above .500 this week, which opened the door
for the 8-5 Flytraps to take a 1/2 game lead in the divisional race.
Of course, the Division Races are critical in ATB X as there is no wild
card in this four division format. The Flytraps won their games
due to good Sims off the bats of Sam Thompson (batted .410 with 5
triples), Rafael Palmeiro ( 3 HR, 9 R, 10 RBI), and Mickey Mantle (3 HR,
9 R, 13 RBI). Perhaps even more important to the teams Sim 4
success, relievers Trevor Hoffman, Tom Henke, and Tug McGraw yielded
just 1 earned run over 18 2/3 innings.
One other team item to note this
week, over the course of the last month the standings look fairly
similar to where they are today:

Week 3

Fed up with early season rumors
proclaiming Barry Bonds or perhaps even Pedro Martinez the rightful
claimant to #1 overall draft pick, the "Sultan of Swat" Babe Ruth has been
on a mission this year, capturing his second Player of the Week
honors on the season. His limit appears inexhaustible, as his
current pace yields an incredible 79 HR and 202 RBI. While this type of math
isn't very constructive in predicting final seasons statistics, it's
clear Ruth is putting up historical numbers never seen before in an ATB
season. It's true the park
Lima de Equipo
calls home is the 1930's answer to Coors Field, but owners have tried
the same strategies in the past and Ruth has never been quite this good:
.383 / .503 / .919, 1.422 OPS, 22 HR,
35 R, 56 RBI, 69.3 RC.
A quick look at the
standings charts shows the impact he has had in the Joe McCarthy division.
de Equipo, neck in neck with the
Homestead
Grays heading into April, has pulled away and now owns a commanding
8 game lead. Lima had the best record on the Sim at 11-3 and owns
perhaps the best Starting 3 in the game considering where they play.
Cliff Melton is 4-1 with a 3.47 ERA; Mark Prior 2-0 with a 2.39 ERA; and
the new de facto ace is the undefeated Andy Pettitte who has 5 wins and
a 2.08 ERA.
A great race is brewing in the
Earl Weaver Division where the
Malkier Golden
Cranes continue to no avail to try and put some space between
themselves and the 2nd place team, the
Winterfell
Direwolves. On paper the Cranes are the class of the division,
owning the best
Run
Differential to go along with their 28-15 record, but still have
just a 2-game lead over Winterfell. One flaw in using Run
Differential as a gauge for team quality is that it often understates
the impact of a good bullpen, which the
Direwolves
clearly own. After a less than stellar April, the pen has a
combined line of 149 IP, 127 H, and a 2.94 ERA. Teams in rest of
the Division continue to struggle in putting together solid 10 game
stretches.
The best race of the season to date
is in the Connie Mack Division where the
Charleston
Chews battle the
Cincinnati
Venus Flytraps. Separated by less than a game, both teams put
up winning records in Week 3 thanks in part to solid starting pitching.
The best
starter of the Sim among these two rivals was the Flytraps #1
starter Pete Alexander. "Grover" went undefeated in 3 starts
yielding just 4 runs in over 20 innings of work (1.77 ERA). The
Chews answered with Luis Tiant who held a 2.31 ERA during his
two Sim 3
starts.
Finally, the slightest hint of a
potential divisional race is surfacing in the Walter Alston Division.
After a solid 10-5 sim the
Baltimore
Black Sox are quietly making up some ground on the juggernaut
DC Chips
squad. In fact, the two have identical 13-7 records during the
month of May suggesting the division title is not sewn up just yet.
Head to Head
With no interleague play in ATB X,
every day
teams are pitted against league or divisional rivals increasing the
importance of each game. Since it is only mid-May the schedule has
not evened itself out and several teams have taken advantage:
Fun Stats O' The Week
- The Staten Island Dumpers are
batting .308 / .390 / .488 with 2-outs and runners in scoring position
- In the same situations, the
Absurdville Madness are batting .173 / .268 / .324
- The Chews have 3 HR and 10 RBI in
0-2 counts. They are batting .196 (19-97)
- The Cranes are 7 for 102, all
singles.
- Tris Speaker (PTR) is batting .531
in "late and close situations"
- Willie Stargell (AM) is 1 for 28
(.036)
Checking in on the
First Rounders

-
Some big names aren't living up
to expectation - Randy Johnson, Addie Joss, Ty Cobb, Walter Johnson,
and Tommy Bond
-
Mickey Mantle, Christy Mathewson,
and Joe DiMaggio have some room for improvement
-
Pedro Martinez, Ted Williams,
Rogers Hornsby, Honus Wagner, Jimmie Foxx, Willie McCovey, Lou
Gehrig, and Arky Vaughan are right on target.
-
Barry Bonds, Greg Maddux, and Tip
O'Neil are performing a bit above expectations.
-
Babe Ruth, well, see below
Hit Chart
We'll end with Babe Ruth's hit chart
on the season, and that's a lot of pink:

Week 2
=
The biggest story coming out of the
close of Week 2 is the surge of the
Charleston
Chews. While they did not have the best record of the sim, that
honor once again goes to the
DC Chips,
the Chews are the only new division leader. At 10-4, the Chews overtook
the Cincinnati Venus Flytraps who played under .500 over the past 15
days. The Chews offense was led by Rico Petrocelli who batted .302 /
.412 / .581 with 10 RBI. Mark McGwire added 5 HR and 9 RBI to the mix as
well. Their rotation was stellar in week 2:
Luis Tiant: 12 IP, 0.75 ERA
Spud Chandler: 15.2 IP, 2.30 ERA
John Tudor: 20.2 IP, 3.05 ERA
And Rollie Fingers added 15 innings
of 3-run ball out of the pen.
Elsewhere in the Alexander
Cartwright League, the Chips continue to roll putting up an 11-2
record, the second sim in a row with they've turned in the best winning
percentage. Given their record and run differential, the Power Alley
calculations have them on pace for an incredible 133 wins.
The
Malkier Golden
Cranes are the talk of the Henry Chadwick League. With an
11-3 record they took a commanding lead of the Earl Weaver division,
leading by 4 games over the
Winterfell
Direwolves. The Direwolves themselves are not deserving of a .500
record as they have been outscored by over 20 runs on the season.
During sim 2 the Cranes had a team ERA of 2.73 and scored over 4 1/2
runs per game.
Around the League
In a sim or two I'll complete a full
rundown of the best and worst draft picks, but scanning through the list
of good pitchers and batters a few names caught my eye:
- 7th Rd: Al Rosen, .380 / .427 /
.670
- 8th Rd: Howard Johnson, .295 /
.361 / .500
- 14th Rd: Frank Howard, Tied for
14th in the league with 20 RBI
- 15th Rd: Eddie Stanky, .381 OBP
- 19th Rd: Toad Ramsey, 1.71 ERA, 3-0
- 22nd Rd: Bobby Shantz, 2.27 ERA,
4-0
- 23rd Rd: Latroy Hawkins, 0.56 ERA
- 28th Rd: Jose Rijo, 1.93 ERA
Finally, the
Standings
Charts are now operational. Give them a glance, well worth it in my
opinion as they give a broader view of how each team is fairing as the
season progresses.
Week 1 Complete – New Guy Sets
the Bar

In so far as any mid-April story is
important, the quick rise of the
DC Chips as the potential team to beat is
the talk of league during the early goings of ATB X. They currently
stand atop the Walter Alston Division with a 12-3 record and the
best
run differential in the game. Behind an
uncommon batting order which features Barry Bonds at the top of the
lineup, the Chips are
second in the league in scoring behind
only
Lima de Equipo which plays its home games
in a
severe batters park.
Bonds (.345 / .515 / .691, 5 HR) isn’t the only offensive star of the
first week for the team either. Jesse Burkett is batting over .400,
Howard Johnson is slugging .520, and Larry Walker has a solid .867 OPS.
While the successes of these three
might have been predictable, no one could rightly surmise the Chips
pitching staff would be
this good. Starter Toad Ramsey is undefeated in three starts with an
ERA of 1.00. Joe Wood and Charley Radbourn have been almost as good:
22 IP, 11 H, 18 K, 1.69 ERA for the frogman and 20 IP, 14 H, 10 K, 2.25
for “Old Hoss”. The bullpen has been spectacular – Jesse Orosco, Lindy
McDaniel, Stu Miller, and Al Hrabosky have pitched over 19 scoreless
innings between them.
The balance of the Alexander
Cartwright League is in a state of flux. On one hand the
Cincinnati Venus Flytraps are 9-6 atop the
Connie Mack Division, but they’ve been outscored on the year. In
truth, only two teams in the entire league have outscored their
opponents by a wide margin, the aforementioned Chips and the defense
minded
John McDonald Fanclub.
Over in the Henry Chadwick League,
three teams have performed better than the rest. de Equipo, aptly named
for their use of the fantasy famous L.I.M.A. plan, have scored 94 runs
behind Babe Ruth. It’s folly to talk about ‘pace’ stats in mid April,
but it is worth noting that Ruth is currently on pace for 105 HR, 162 R,
and 289 RBI. As a team, de Equipo is batting .332 / .387 / .533.
Two teams in the Earl Weaver
Division are deserve mention as well. While their records are not
indicative of their underlying skills, the
Malkier Golden Cranes and
Staten Island Dumpers are the only two
teams in the division to score more than a handful of runs then they’ve
let up. In the case of the Cranes, their so-so record of 8-6 rests
entirely with the fault of the
defense, which has
recorded an astounding 23 errors in 14 games. Joe Torre and Jeff
Bagwell are the worst culprits with 6 and 5 errors respectively.
There is plenty of ball left to play
and don’t lose heart if your team isn’t performing as well as you’d
hoped.
For the newcomers, a bit about the
weekly reports. Below this write-up are four sections, some words on
each:
-
The Good, The Great, and The
Ugly – The best and worst players in the game on the year.
-
Batters and Pitchers of the
Week – Self explanatory, I hope.
-
Power Alley – My
unofficial rankings of each team. The rankings are based upon a
weighting of each teams current record and Pythagorean Record, the
latter of which predicts overall records based upon a teams existing
Runs Scored and Runs Let up.
-
To p Players – Position by
position ranking of the best offensive players in the game.
Also, over on the left hand menu are
some additional reports.
-
League Reports – I am sure
everyone has used these, but if not it’s where you access all the
league and team data.
-
Great Individual Feats – A
record of each player that recorded at least 5 Hits, 5 Runs, 6 RBI,
3 Doubles, 3 Home Runs, 4 Stolen Bases, 85+ Game Score, or 12
Strikeouts in a single game. Also listed are players that hit for
the Cycle, some hitting streak data, and two team level feats – 16
inning games and 16 run games.
-
RSAA Leaders – Runs Scored
Against Average Leaders. A listing of all pitchers by this stat,
which takes into consideration how much better or worse a players
statistics are versus the league average. Lee Sinins devised this;
I twisted it to use Runs Created ERA instead of standard ERA.
-
AOPSAP Leaders – Average
OPS Above Position Leaders. Similar to RSAA but for batters, a
listing of players by how much better their OPS is versus the league
average at the position.
-
Standings Charts – Nifty
graphs of each teams W-L record, but I’ll start posting that after
Sim 2 or Sim 3.
Oh, and if you’re still with me,
check out this
game between the Dumpers and the
Otherton Fish Biscuits.
Three players recorded 5-hits.
11-09-08: Opening Weekend Results
This space is normally updated after the full slate of
games, but opening day deserves it's one space. Some of the stars
of day 1:
-
Cliff Melton (LdE) outduels Christy Mathewson going 7
innings and yielding just 1 run. 7 IP, 7 H, 1 R, 2 BB, 4K.
-
Johnny Mize (HR) smacks 2 HR's and drives in 5 in a
rout of the Venus Fly Traps.
-
Teammate Walter Johnson (HR) easily defeats Pete
Alexander in a complete game, 1 earned run victory.
-
A rain delay cost the Golden Cranes the game as Pedro
Martinez wasn't allowed back. His replacement, Dizzy Dean gave
up 5 Hits and 2 Runs in his 4 innings of work, plenty for Greg
Maddux (PTR) (7 IP, 5 H, 0 R) to work with.
-
Al Orth (SID) pitches 8 strong innings and Willie
McCovey doubles twice and drives in 3.
-
Hal Newhouser (HG) pitches a 5 hit, complete game
shutout of Absurdville. Javey Lopes hits 2 HR and drives in 6.
-
Cy Blanton (JMF) also pitches a 5 hit complete game
shutout, this time against the Cloverleafs.
-
Joe D and Rico Petrocelli of the Charleston Chews
each homer and drive in 4.
11-07-08 – OPENING WEEKEND
"I have seen (John) McGraw go onto ball fields where he is as welcome as
a man with the black smallpox. I have seen him take all sorts of
personal changes. He doesn't know what fear is." - Christy Mathewson
"(Frank) Baker used a bat antiquated even in his time. The handle was
almost the size of the barrel. It was short, but almost like a piece of
lead because it weighed over fifty ounces. There was no flex. It really
was a wagon tongue." - Hillerich & Bradsby
"Let's
play two." - Ernie Banks
Finally, it’s time. After a grueling 3-week draft that
covered 600 picks by an ATB record 20 owners, opening day is upon us.
The Baseball Gods are with us to start the 10th season of ATB
as well. The first game matchups are both out of the lore of
yesteryear, and the lore of future generations to come.
The Cartwright League starts us off with a classic
confrontation between two of the deadball era’s greatest – “The Big
Train” Walter Johnson and “The Christian Gentleman” Christy Mathewson.
Between the Hall Of Famers, 67 teams recorded a loss against them by
scoring, on average, just 1.18 earned runs per game, a figure so low it
forces one to pause and consult the record books.
The Chadwick League counters with a confrontation
future generations will soon drool over – Greg Maddux vs. Pedro
Martinez, arguably the two most un-hittable pitchers we’ve seen in 50
years. In 1995 the Mad Dog allowed only 6.3 hits for every nine innings
pitched and won over 90% of his games. Facing him is Pedro Martinez,
owner of the single most prolific pitching season in the history of the
sport – 217 IP, 128 H, 284 K’s
Other matchups intrigue the mind as well. Who’ll take
the battle of current era lefty stars – Randy Johnson or Johan Santana?
Or the encounter of the 19th century – Tommy Bond vs. Old
Hoss Radbourn? Perhaps one might look upon a game where seemingly no
two release points are the same, which is what you’ll find when David
Cone faces off against Luis Tiant. And finally, how many bats will be
missed when Sandy Koufax and Curt Schilling, who struck out 633 batters
between them, take the mound against each other on Sunday?
The lineups are in and the fields are being lined. Good
luck!
Opening Day matchups around the league:
Henry Chadwick League
Flatbush Avenues @ Lima de Equipo
Matt B vs. Brad P
Christy Mathewson (37-11, 1.43) vs. Cliff Melton (20-9,
2.61)
Homestead Grays @ Absurdville Madness
Steve G vs. Matt/Tim
Hal Newhouser (26-9, 1.94) vs. Addie Joss (14-10, 1.59)
Pangea Tyrannosaurus Rex’s @ Malkirie Golden Cranes
Justin P vs. Mike S
Greg Maddux (19-2, 1.63) vs. Pedro Martinez (18-6, 1.74)
Otherton Fish Biscuits @ Staten Island Dumpers
Brian B vs. Sean S
Sam McDowell (17-11, 2.18) vs. Al Orth (20-12, 2.27)
North Central Positronics @ Winterfell Direwolves
TJ vs. Lou
Randy Johnson (17-9, 2.48) vs. Johan Santana (20-6, 2.61)
Alexander Cartwright League
Planet 10 @ Lot O’ Lefties
Ivar vs. Jim N
Curt Schilling (23-7, 3.23) vs. Sandy Koufax(27-9, 1.73)
Harlem Rangers @ Cincinnati Venus Fly Traps
Jeff B vs. Kevin C
Walter Johnson (36-7, 1.14) vs. Pete Alexander (31-10,
1.22)
Charleston Chews @ Baltimore Black Sox
Mike R vs. Mike/Zach
Luis Tiant (21-9, 1.60) vs. David Cone (16-5, 2.94)
John McDonald Fanclub @ Birmingham Cloverleaf's
Jason B vs. Joe T
Roger Clemens (21-7, 2.05) vs. Mort Cooper (22-7, 1.78)
DC Chips @ Lake Superior Lighthouse
Steve C vs. Greg S
Charley Radbourn (59-12, 1.38) vs. Silver King (45-21,
1.64)
Battle O' the
Divisions
More Sim data! Made fake teams comprised of the best players of
each division. "Best" is determined by draft order, which may not
actually be the best but is the only fair way I could think of to make
sure each team at least had some representation. These 4 teams
played a 15 game 'season'. The Results:
10-5:
Walter Alston
8-7:
Earl Weaver
7-8:
Joe McCarthy
5-10:
Connie Mack
The
lineups and rotations
Alston
Mack
McCarthy
Weaver
Great Lines
Willie
McCovey, Sean: .455 / .529 / .977, 7 HR, 12 R, 13 RBI
Harry
Heilmann, Joe T: .500 / .541 / .588
Babe
Ruth, Brad P: .231 / .412 / .654, 7 HR, 10 R, 12
RBI
Ted
Williams, Sean S: .377 / .451 / .557, 3 HR, 14 R, 16 RBI
Walter
Johnson, Jeff B: 1-1, 0.49 ERA, 18 IP, 11 H, 5 BB, 8 K
Addie
Joss, Matt/Tim: 2-1, 2.05 ERA, 22 IP, 12 H, 7
BB, 11 K
Pedro
Martinez, Mike S: 0-1, 2.12 ERA, 17 IP, 8 H, 1 BB, 16
K
Teddy
Higuera, TJ O: 2-0, 2.80 ERA, 19 IP, 13 H, 11
BB, 9 K
Eric
Gagne, Matt/Tim: 0-0, 0.00 ERA, 6 IP, 3 H,
6 BB, 6 K, 3 Sv
Full Team Batting Report
Full Team Pitching Report
Barnstorming Bonanza
Fed-up with the prospects of the planned break in the action the owners
saw fit to grant themselves this weekend, several stars of the early
rounds of the ATB Draft formed a loose, temporary alliance designed to
get them onto to the diamond before the season starts. More
importantly, it also sent a message to the owners that the players will
do anything to get the seasons started - even if it risks injury
barnstorming in exhibition games up and down the east coast.
(just kidding, no injuries)
Nine games were played in a round robin style schedule between Mays'
Marauders, Walter's Big Trains, and Ruth's "Murderer's Row Relived".
All players selected through Rd 4 pick #6 were tossed back into a
fictitious player pool and re-drafted from scratch by a mysterious man
calling himself PC. Recent reports are that it is not Phil
Cavarretta as originally reported.
In
all, 9 games were played:
Game 1 - The Big Trains score six in
the 8th in a come from behind 8-4 victory over Mays' Marauders.
Johnson himself was solid pitching 9 innings and giving up 6 hits and 4
runs. Arky Vaughan and Ted Williams homerd for the victors.
Game 2 - Mays' Marauders came out on
top in game 2, besting Walter's Big Trains 9-4. They pounded out
15 hits with Stan Musial and George Brett collecting 3 apiece.
Tommy Bond was blitzed allowing 7 hits and 6 runs, recording just 6
outs.
Game 3 - The Big Trains come out on
top in hard fought battle over the Marauders, winning 5-4. Down by
two heading into the top of the 9th, the Marauders plated two with an
Oscar Charleston triple and Stan Musial single. "Matty" couldn't
hold the Big Trains at bay in the bottom half of the inning. Small
ball won out - A double by Joe Jackson, an intentional walk to pinch
hitter Dan Brouthers, an Arky Vaughan sac bunt, all ending with a Johnny
Bench fielders choice to win.
Game 4 - An all time great pitchers
match-up didn't disappoint. Pedro Martinez gives up just 3 hits in
8 innings, striking out 11 but the one run he gave up was the difference
maker. Pete Alexander gave up no runs and just one hit through 7,
while Christy Mathewson and Randy Johnson finished out the game
unscathed.
Game 5 - Both starters, Greg Maddux
and Al Orth, were bounced out early as Mays' Marauders top Murderer's
Row Relived 9-6. Bill Dickey, George Brett, and Oscar Charleston
had 2-RBI nights while Honus Wagner went 3-4 with 2 doubles.
Game 6 - The Marauders win again, this
time Bill Dickey did most of the damage going 3-4 with 2 doubles and 3
RBI. Lefty Grove got the job done lasting 6 innings and yielding 3
runs.
Game 7 - Pedro Martinez struggled a
bit, but held the Big Trains in check giving up just one run in 4 2/3
innings. Nap Lajoie smacks 3-hits, and he and Tris Speaker plate 2
a piece in the 7-3 Murder's Row Relived victory.
Game 8 - Sandy Koufax was all guts
with no stuff today, giving up 13 hits and six runs over 7 2/3 innings,
but recorded the victory anyway. Murderer's Row Relived was led by
Josh Gibson who went 4-4 with 2 runs, 2 RBI, and a HR. For the
losing Big Trains, Dan Brouthers had 3 hits and Joe Jackson 3 RBI.
Game 9 - The Big Trains win the last
barnstorming game 8-4 over Murderer's Row. Jim Whitney picks up
the win giving up just 2-earned runs over 7+ innings while Arky Vaughan,
Tip O'Neill, John McGraw, and Johnny Bench each have 2-RBI games.
Final Records:
4-2: Mays' Marauders
3-3: Walters Big Trains
2-4: Murderer's Row
Great Batters
Nap
Lajoie: .458 / .500 / .917
King
Kelly: .333 / .481 / .667
John
McGraw: .389 / .421 / .722
George
Brett: .368 / .391 / .737
Oscar
Charleston: .375 / .400 / .708
Great Pitchers
Jim
Whitney: 15.0 IP, 13 H, 2.40 ERA
Pete
Alexander: 14.2 IP, 7 H, 1.23 ERA
Pedro
Martinez: 13.1 IP, 7 H, 0.67 ERA
MOCK DRAFT RESULTS
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